Since yesterday, the tropical depression intensified into Tropical Storm No 6. In the alphabet, or in the name list for the Atlantic we were in this season thus Florence. TS Florence is currently far northeast of the Lesser Antilles and the system moves in the days to come slowly to the northwest. The convection has increased, but in average Wind speeds were as yet no major changes were observed. The values are gechätzt to around 40 knots (about 72 km / h). For the next two to three days is still not expecting a larger increase. "Florence" is still struggling a bit with the wind shear in higher layers of the troposphere. Wind shear disrupts the circulation of the storm, ie, stronger wind in the height of "pushes" away the top part of the system. This is caused by an upper low to the north-west. This should weaken the model calculations, however slowly and then could a storm over the about 29 ° C warm water increase further. For the time being is "Florence" no greater threat to land areas dar. Whether the storm towards the weekend then slowly turns to the north and thus remains in the open sea, you have to wait. But we could see in a few days the first "major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) this season.
Lars
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