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Hurricane Gordon in the Azores

The Azores were the last hours rather rare visitor from the tropics. Hurricane Gordon has in recent days with a stronger westerly flow across the Atlantic moved toward the Azores and was raging there as a Category 1 storm The means winds were recently at a little over 120 km / h, on the southeastern island of Santa Maria has already been recorded gusts to 131 mph. The high speed of the train, the rainfall is not too large. The Azores are not everything in the typical region for tropical cyclones, but in some years, but they are in the trajectory of - usually rapidly weakening - systems. Hurricane Gordon in the Azores, but is certainly not an extreme event, not to mention a connection with global warming altogether. In the coming hours is likely to weaken further and Gordon to an extratropical cyclone be. With high winds and heavy rainfall this system could still plague the northwest of the Iberian Peninsula. Hurricane Helene is

though soon turn north to northeast and thus pose no further threat to land. Helene is currently a Category 2 hurricane with central winds of 175 km / h.

Lars

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Hurricanes Gordon and Helene plow through the water



Hurricane Gordon will make in the coming days in the Azores for very stormy weather. Currently the storm is a category 1 far west of the island group in the open Atlantic Ocean, in the course of Tuesday he will reach the islands. He will be (slowly because of the slow down to below 26 ° C declining due to increasing water temperatures and wind shear) something. Currently, the average wind speed at 150 km / h can be estimated, with stronger gusts. The Azores could still weakening despite hurricanes noticed also threatening heavy rain.

further south, but almost on the same latitude, there is Hurricane Helene. This tropical storm is currently a "major hurricane" Category 3, with mean wind speeds of just over 200 km / h. In the coming three days is expected to stay with Helene continued favorable conditions, a storm of Category 3, maybe he even manages to Category 4, the second highest level. First, the storm is moving northwest, then west. Whether the flow over the eastern United States then the hurricane "aufpickt" and deflected to the north, is still not entirely sure. At least in the coming days in the U.S. and Caribbean landfall not expected. But Bermuda could come later in the sphere of influence of Helene.

Lars

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"Major Hurricane" Gordon - Helene already there


In September, typically the most active months is when it's about tropical storms, has become now quite interesting. So far we got in the alphabet of tropical storm names this season ahead more slowly, but in recent days, a speed up was switched.

"Florence" has now passed into the North Atlantic and is converted into a strong extratropical storm. Behind it was "Gordon", this compact storm has blossomed rather quickly into a hurricane of category 3. Thus Gordon is the first so-called "major hurricane" in the Atlantic this season. The storm is much smaller than Florence, but also much better organized. The conditions were, and are also almost perfect, no shear, which could interfere with the vortex, rate and still high water temperatures around 28 ° C. Gordon will be on land but not a threat, so it's a "fish storm", a term that is used by many meteorologists and hurricane chasers to clarify that if all the fish are likely to be annoyed by this hurricane.

Further east is the Atlantic even more uneasy, from the former Tropical Depression No. 8 has recently Tropical Storm "Helen" has become. This system will develop only slowly and first step, but the next hurricane in the Atlantic is relatively safe. A threat to the country, so for the Caribbean, the United States or Mexico (Ostseite!) is not currently in sight. Most storms in the Atlantic turn in time to the north and north-east before they get close to the continent. This is in contrast to the last two years, as a stable high pressure area from the Atlantic to the eastern United States and gave the more southern storms are thus often moved west across Florida and the Gulf.

Lars

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Florence becomes extratropical storm - "Gordon" follows


Hurricane Florence "since yesterday pulled on to N or NE and converts slowly into an extratropical storm. At best, Newfoundland could still imminent heavy storm, otherwise no land involved. The structure of Florence is already very asymmetrically, and the vortex has been weakened. In Bermuda, there was some damage to roofs of Florence, power lines and on the vegetation, but overall it went quite as lightly. At the airport Kindley Field funds were yesterday morning winds to 106 km / h measured with gusts to 144 km / h. The station in St. David's registered agent winds up to 129 km / h with gusts of 160-180 km / h. The eye of Florence moved about 60 miles (95 km) west past the island, the strongest winds and rains were therefore more Western in open sea.

Behind Florence is from the former Tropical Depression No. 7 now, tropical storm "Gordon" has become. This new system is likely tomorrow the strength of a hurricane have reached that represent, according to current calculations, but no threat to land. Only Bermuda could get any sense to some of Gordon.

has the meantime, Further east, formed off the coast of Africa, a new strong tropical wave. This could be later this week to the next hurricane (that would be "Helen") step.

Lars

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Florence a Category 1 remains - Forward

Hurricane Florence has in the past 12 to 18 hours not increased much. The storm looks to the satellite images are not really very balanced - a sign that the storm a little "flimsy". Bermuda is however still a hurricane warning means winds are about about 130 mph in the eyewall, the gusts even higher. In addition, rainfall by 50 to 100 mm, locally up to 150 mm expected (compared to full-September in Germany, average of about 50 to 70 mm), the tensile direction is NNE-ward to Bermuda over. On his way towards Newfoundland and in the sea areas east of Florence is changing slowly in the coming days in a strong extratropical low.

Lars

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Hurricane Florence draws to Bermuda


"Florence" has strengthened into a Category 1 hurricane, the central pressure was estimated in the morning to 976 hpa. The means winds reach 130 mph and is expected to further intensify. According to present model calculations Florence will meet Monday as a Category 2 storm, Bermuda, the center will pass it just to the west. Similar to Hurricane "Fabian" in 2003, Bermuda will not however get the full force of the wind to feel the islands are yet (as seen in the direction of tension) in the right quadrant of the vortex. Here are cumulative rotation speed and train speed and the storm surge in this sector to propose full book. These come with rainfall amounts of 125-200 mm. The Meteorological Service of Bermuda has already issued a hurricane warning. Even during the night, conditions are worse there tomorrow then "hurricane conditions" to be expected. In the so-called "eyewall, a ring of strong convection around the center / eye of the hurricane, there are the strongest winds of 170 km / h in medium, with gusts to about 200 are possible tomorrow.
Behind "Florence" is still to the southeast A second, weaker system. Now, it does not look as if this storm developed from clusters in the near future a new system, but one is vigilant.

Lars

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to "Florence"



Since yesterday, the tropical depression intensified into Tropical Storm No 6. In the alphabet, or in the name list for the Atlantic we were in this season thus Florence. TS Florence is currently far northeast of the Lesser Antilles and the system moves in the days to come slowly to the northwest. The convection has increased, but in average Wind speeds were as yet no major changes were observed. The values are gechätzt to around 40 knots (about 72 km / h). For the next two to three days is still not expecting a larger increase. "Florence" is still struggling a bit with the wind shear in higher layers of the troposphere. Wind shear disrupts the circulation of the storm, ie, stronger wind in the height of "pushes" away the top part of the system. This is caused by an upper low to the north-west. This should weaken the model calculations, however slowly and then could a storm over the about 29 ° C warm water increase further. For the time being is "Florence" no greater threat to land areas dar. Whether the storm towards the weekend then slowly turns to the north and thus remains in the open sea, you have to wait. But we could see in a few days the first "major hurricane (Category 3 or higher) this season.

Lars

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TD 6


After a short rest in the tropical North Atlantic, formed far to the east of the Lesser Antilles, the Tropical Depression No. 6. The convection is currently quite strong, but the system of mild south-westerly wind shear effect. A clear center of rotation is still not visible. In the coming days, should the obertroposphärische Trough, the retreat responsible for the shear to NE. Moreover, the models expected on the field of TD 6 increasingly anticyclonic influence. This is for the intensification of the system, very good because then the rising air in the tropical storm "above", in Tropopausenniveau be discharged to the outside (upper-level outflow). Currently, the average wind speed of TD 6 is about 30 knots (50-60 mph). Soon, perhaps the status of a tropical storm will be achieved by mid-week and we could then see the next hurricane. The direction of tension seems to be after today's model calculations WNW. Whether and when the storm threatens the U.S. coastline or the Bahamas could, is still unclear. We keep an eye on developments.

Lars

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stand - we look to the tropics


Today is the first September. The tropical storm "Ernesto" yesterday visited include the U.S. states of North and South Carolina. He put up close to be promoted to a Category 1 hurricane (118-153 km / h 1-Min. Means winds). In addition to the storm were the heavy rains of up to 250 mm, 125 in part a problem.

So far, this year's hurricane season was fairly quiet, but the highlight of the activity lies ahead. The www.stormexpedition.com hurricane expedition is approved. Together with Marco Kaschuba I in the coming weeks or less and be on standby in the direction of U.S. East Coast and Gulf fly, if a hurricane should reach these regions. Then there is at this point again updates and pictures!

Until then,
Lars aka tvs